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David Heath

Inactive · age 50 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1430
Global Elo 1481 ±40
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Feb 2, 2008
Loss by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Aug 26, 2006 — W vs Cory Walmsley Δ+33Dec 13, 2006 — W vs Victor Valimaki Δ+26Apr 21, 2007 — L vs Lyoto Machida Δ-31Aug 25, 2007 — L vs Renato Sobral Δ-32Feb 2, 2008 — L vs Tim Boetsch Δ-33 1400142514501475150015251550 20072008 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":197.5,"elo":1500,"date":"2006-08-26","opp":"Cory Walmsley","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":239.5,"y":141.8,"elo":1526,"date":"2006-12-13","opp":"Victor Valimaki","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":416.4,"y":208.6,"elo":1494,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":589.2,"y":277.1,"elo":1462,"date":"2007-08-25","opp":"Renato Sobral","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":347.1,"elo":1430,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 2, 2008 Tim Boetsch L -33
Aug 25, 2007 Renato Sobral L -32
Apr 21, 2007 Lyoto Machida L -31
Dec 13, 2006 Victor Valimaki W +26
Aug 26, 2006 Cory Walmsley W +33
How the wins come
  • 1 win by submission 50%
  • 1 win by decision 50%

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 68 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 13%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cory Walmsley
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.6
−0.6 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500
Career at a glance
Octagon time
46m
Avg fight time
9:11
Fights per year
3.5
Since last fight
18y 7mo
vs Compare David Heath with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1670
Robert Whittaker
#3 · Elo 1633
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1622
Azamat Murzakanov
#5 · Elo 1611
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from David Heath on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.