HonestElo
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Josh Samman

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 201 cm
Elo rating
1529 ±41
LCB 1475
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Jul 13, 2016
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Kevin Casey Δ+33Dec 6, 2014 — W vs Eddie Gordon Δ+34Jul 12, 2015 — W vs Caio Magalhaes Δ+36Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Tamdan McCrory Δ-41Jul 13, 2016 — L vs Tim Boetsch Δ-37 14841524156316031643 201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Kevin Casey","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":456.1,"y":125.3,"elo":1567,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Eddie Gordon","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":612.6,"y":77.5,"elo":1603,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Caio Magalhaes","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":727.4,"y":132.9,"elo":1561,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Tamdan McCrory","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":182.5,"elo":1524,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"L","delta":-37}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 13, 2016 Tim Boetsch L -37
Dec 19, 2015 Tamdan McCrory L -41
Jul 12, 2015 Caio Magalhaes W +36
Dec 6, 2014 Eddie Gordon W +34
Apr 13, 2013 Kevin Casey W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.72 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.04 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
35% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.90 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.30 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1534
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual 0 vs expected