HonestElo
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Mark Coleman

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1570 ±45
LCB 1511
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -11 · Δ1y -11
Last fight
Feb 6, 2010
L by Submission

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Jul 12, 1996 — W vs Moti Horenstein Δ+33Jul 12, 1996 — W vs Gary Goodridge Δ+33Jul 12, 1996 — W vs Don Frye Δ+52Sep 20, 1996 — W vs Brian Johnston Δ+23Sep 20, 1996 — W vs Julian Sanchez Δ+20Feb 7, 1997 — W vs Dan Severn Δ+23Jul 27, 1997 — L vs Maurice Smith Δ-30May 15, 1998 — L vs Pete Williams Δ-26Jan 8, 1999 — L vs Pedro Rizzo Δ-20Jan 17, 2009 — L vs Mauricio Rua Δ-25Jul 11, 2009 — W vs Stephan Bonnar Δ+14Feb 6, 2010 — L vs Randy Couture Δ-16 14931551160916661724 1999200220052008 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":199.3,"elo":1533,"date":"1996-07-12","opp":"Moti Horenstein","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":24,"y":169,"elo":1566,"date":"1996-07-12","opp":"Gary Goodridge","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":24,"y":121.5,"elo":1618,"date":"1996-07-12","opp":"Don Frye","result":"W","delta":52},{"i":3,"x":36,"y":100.2,"elo":1641,"date":"1996-09-20","opp":"Brian Johnston","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":36,"y":81.6,"elo":1661,"date":"1996-09-20","opp":"Julian Sanchez","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":60.1,"y":60.7,"elo":1684,"date":"1997-02-07","opp":"Dan Severn","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":89.3,"y":87.9,"elo":1655,"date":"1997-07-27","opp":"Maurice Smith","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":7,"x":139.5,"y":111.9,"elo":1628,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Pete Williams","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":8,"x":180.4,"y":130.3,"elo":1608,"date":"1999-01-08","opp":"Pedro Rizzo","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":809.8,"y":153.3,"elo":1583,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":10,"x":839.9,"y":140.6,"elo":1597,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Stephan Bonnar","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":155,"elo":1581,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Randy Couture","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 6, 2010 Randy Couture L -16
Jul 11, 2009 Stephan Bonnar W +14
Jan 17, 2009 Mauricio Rua L -25
Jan 8, 1999 Pedro Rizzo L -20
May 15, 1998 Pete Williams L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.31 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.23 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
40% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.57 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.14 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
3
43% of wins
SUB
3
43% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 3 (43%) 3 Sub: 3 (43%) 3 Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
6 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1540
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual 0 vs expected