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Dan Severn

Inactive · Southpaw · 188 cm
Elo rating
1599 ±39
LCB 1549
Rank
UFC record
9-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 5 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y -15
Last fight
Sep 22, 2000
L by KO

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 16, 1994 — W vs Anthony Macias Δ+33Dec 16, 1994 — L vs Royce Gracie Δ-26Dec 16, 1994 — W vs Marcus Bossett Δ+32Apr 7, 1995 — W vs Joe Charles Δ+29Apr 7, 1995 — W vs Dave Beneteau Δ+37Apr 7, 1995 — W vs Oleg Taktarov Δ+13Jul 14, 1995 — L vs Ken Shamrock Δ-21Dec 16, 1995 — W vs Oleg Taktarov Δ+21Dec 16, 1995 — W vs David Abbott Δ+12Dec 16, 1995 — W vs Paul Varelans Δ+13May 17, 1996 — W vs Ken Shamrock Δ+15Feb 7, 1997 — L vs Mark Coleman Δ-23Sep 22, 2000 — L vs Pedro Rizzo Δ-21 14671525158316411699 199519961997199819992000 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":175.7,"elo":1533,"date":"1994-12-16","opp":"Anthony Macias","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":24,"y":199.4,"elo":1507,"date":"1994-12-16","opp":"Royce Gracie","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":24,"y":169.7,"elo":1540,"date":"1994-12-16","opp":"Marcus Bossett","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":69.3,"y":142.7,"elo":1569,"date":"1995-04-07","opp":"Joe Charles","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":69.3,"y":108.7,"elo":1606,"date":"1995-04-07","opp":"Dave Beneteau","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":69.3,"y":97.1,"elo":1619,"date":"1995-04-07","opp":"Oleg Taktarov","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":108.9,"y":116.2,"elo":1598,"date":"1995-07-14","opp":"Ken Shamrock","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":171.6,"y":97.1,"elo":1619,"date":"1995-12-16","opp":"Oleg Taktarov","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":171.6,"y":86.3,"elo":1631,"date":"1995-12-16","opp":"David Abbott","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":171.6,"y":74.4,"elo":1644,"date":"1995-12-16","opp":"Paul Varelans","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":233.5,"y":60.6,"elo":1659,"date":"1996-05-17","opp":"Ken Shamrock","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":341,"y":81.5,"elo":1636,"date":"1997-02-07","opp":"Mark Coleman","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":100.9,"elo":1615,"date":"2000-09-22","opp":"Pedro Rizzo","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 22, 2000 Pedro Rizzo L -21
Feb 7, 1997 Mark Coleman L -23
May 17, 1996 Ken Shamrock W +15
Dec 16, 1995 Paul Varelans W +13
Dec 16, 1995 David Abbott W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.48 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
0.63 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
69% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.69 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.13 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
5
56% of wins
DEC
3
33% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 5 (63%) 5 Dec: 3 (38%) 3
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
6 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1584
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual +2 vs expected