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John Moraga

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1546 ±38
LCB 1497
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 3 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d -6 · Δ1y -6
Last fight
Aug 25, 2018
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Aug 4, 2012 — W vs Ulysses Gomez Δ+33Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Chris Cariaso Δ+37Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-39Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Dustin Ortiz Δ+29Jun 7, 2014 — L vs John Dodson Δ-27Sep 5, 2014 — W vs Justin Scoggins Δ+18Dec 13, 2014 — W vs Willie Gates Δ+16May 23, 2015 — L vs Joseph Benavidez Δ-14Jul 8, 2016 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-17Jan 15, 2017 — L vs Sergio Pettis Δ-16Jun 10, 2017 — W vs Ashkan Mokhtarian Δ+15Oct 7, 2017 — W vs Magomed Bibulatov Δ+18Apr 14, 2018 — W vs Wilson Reis Δ+16Aug 25, 2018 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-17 14801512154515781610 201320142015201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":149.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2012-08-04","opp":"Ulysses Gomez","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":80.6,"y":88.9,"elo":1570,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Chris Cariaso","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":161.5,"y":152.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":3,"x":227.8,"y":105.8,"elo":1560,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Dustin Ortiz","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":282.8,"y":149.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-06-07","opp":"John Dodson","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":317.5,"y":120.5,"elo":1551,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Justin Scoggins","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":355.6,"y":95,"elo":1567,"date":"2014-12-13","opp":"Willie Gates","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":417.6,"y":118.1,"elo":1552,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Joseph Benavidez","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":576.3,"y":145.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":649.9,"y":171.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2017-01-15","opp":"Sergio Pettis","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":706.1,"y":146.6,"elo":1535,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Ashkan Mokhtarian","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":752,"y":117.1,"elo":1553,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Magomed Bibulatov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":824.8,"y":91.8,"elo":1569,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Wilson Reis","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":119.4,"elo":1552,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 25, 2018 Deiveson Figueiredo L -17
Apr 14, 2018 Wilson Reis W +16
Oct 7, 2017 Magomed Bibulatov W +18
Jun 10, 2017 Ashkan Mokhtarian W +15
Jan 15, 2017 Sergio Pettis L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.34 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.32 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.57 avg 1.57
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
23% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
45% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.97 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
63%
5 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
3
38% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 3 (38%) 3
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
2 40%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1542
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.9
actual +1 vs expected