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TJ Brown "Downtown"

Inactive · age 36 · Switch · 5'9" 175 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1430
Global Elo 1480 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Oct 14, 2023
Loss by Submission · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 41m
Avg fight time
12:40
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.2
Ground control
32m
Since last fight
2y 8mo

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Feb 29, 2020 — L vs Jordan Griffin Δ-38Aug 15, 2020 — L vs Danny Chavez Δ-26May 1, 2021 — W vs Kai Kamaka Iii Δ+33Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Charles Rosa Δ+30Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Δ-30Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Erik Silva Δ+20Apr 15, 2023 — L vs Bill Algeo Δ-16Oct 14, 2023 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-12 1380140014201440146014801500 202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":275.1,"elo":1431,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Jordan Griffin","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":1,"x":181.4,"y":343.6,"elo":1405,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Danny Chavez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":322.4,"y":255.1,"elo":1438,"date":"2021-05-01","opp":"Kai Kamaka Iii","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":463.3,"y":174.5,"elo":1468,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":551,"y":253.5,"elo":1439,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Shayilan Nuerdanbieke","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":642.4,"y":200.1,"elo":1459,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Erik Silva","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":711,"y":243.3,"elo":1442,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Bill Algeo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":276.4,"elo":1430,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 14, 2023 Darren Elkins L -12
Apr 15, 2023 Bill Algeo L -16
Dec 10, 2022 Erik Silva W +20
Jun 25, 2022 Shayilan Nuerdanbieke L -30
Jan 15, 2022 Charles Rosa W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 342 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5 · usually R2
0 KO/TKO 3 Sub 2 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Erik Silva
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.7
−0.7 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1452
1592

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from TJ Brown on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.