HonestElo
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Kailin Curran

Inactive · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 165 cm
Elo rating
1426 ±28
LCB 1390
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-6-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Nov 25, 2017
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Paige VanZant Δ-33May 9, 2015 — L vs Alex Chambers Δ-33Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Emily Kagan Δ+37Jul 23, 2016 — L vs Felice Herrig Δ-30Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Jamie Moyle Δ-24Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Aleksandra Albu Δ-11Nov 25, 2017 — L vs Yan Xiaonan Δ-12 13541393143214711510 201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":83,"elo":1467,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Paige VanZant","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":154.2,"y":127.8,"elo":1434,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"Alex Chambers","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":320.9,"y":78.2,"elo":1470,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Emily Kagan","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":496.1,"y":118.7,"elo":1441,"date":"2016-07-23","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":599.2,"y":151.1,"elo":1417,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Jamie Moyle","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":5,"x":783.7,"y":165.8,"elo":1406,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Aleksandra Albu","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":181.8,"elo":1394,"date":"2017-11-25","opp":"Yan Xiaonan","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 25, 2017 Yan Xiaonan L -12
Jul 29, 2017 Aleksandra Albu L -11
Dec 3, 2016 Jamie Moyle L -24
Jul 23, 2016 Felice Herrig L -30
Dec 10, 2015 Emily Kagan W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.56 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.34 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.83 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
58% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
62% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1502
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual -2 vs expected