HonestElo
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Jeremy Horn

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1516 ±37
LCB 1468
Rank
UFC record
6-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 4 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +9 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Jan 17, 2009
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
May 15, 1998 — L vs Frank Shamrock Δ-31Oct 16, 1998 — L vs Ebenezer Fontes Braga Δ-30Mar 5, 1999 — W vs Chuck Liddell Δ+42Jul 16, 1999 — W vs Daiju Takase Δ+35Sep 24, 1999 — W vs Jason Godsey Δ+29Sep 22, 2000 — W vs Eugene Jackson Δ+17Feb 23, 2001 — L vs Elvis Sinosic Δ-22Aug 20, 2005 — L vs Chuck Liddell Δ-15Nov 19, 2005 — W vs Trevor Prangley Δ+18May 27, 2006 — W vs Chael Sonnen Δ+16Feb 2, 2008 — L vs Nate Marquardt Δ-18Jun 21, 2008 — L vs Dean Lister Δ-17Jan 17, 2009 — L vs Rousimar Palhares Δ-17 13991449150015501601 20002002200420062008 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":162.6,"elo":1469,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Frank Shamrock","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":57.6,"y":194.1,"elo":1439,"date":"1998-10-16","opp":"Ebenezer Fontes Braga","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":88.2,"y":150.7,"elo":1480,"date":"1999-03-05","opp":"Chuck Liddell","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":3,"x":117.3,"y":114,"elo":1515,"date":"1999-07-16","opp":"Daiju Takase","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":132.6,"y":84,"elo":1544,"date":"1999-09-24","opp":"Jason Godsey","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":212.1,"y":65.9,"elo":1561,"date":"2000-09-22","opp":"Eugene Jackson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":245.7,"y":88.5,"elo":1539,"date":"2001-02-23","opp":"Elvis Sinosic","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":603.8,"y":103.9,"elo":1525,"date":"2005-08-20","opp":"Chuck Liddell","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":8,"x":623.7,"y":85.6,"elo":1542,"date":"2005-11-19","opp":"Trevor Prangley","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":665,"y":68.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2006-05-27","opp":"Chael Sonnen","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":799.5,"y":86.9,"elo":1541,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":830.1,"y":105.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2008-06-21","opp":"Dean Lister","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":122.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 17, 2009 Rousimar Palhares L -17
Jun 21, 2008 Dean Lister L -17
Feb 2, 2008 Nate Marquardt L -18
May 27, 2006 Chael Sonnen W +16
Nov 19, 2005 Trevor Prangley W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.35 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.74 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.43 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
31% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.57 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
5 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
4
67% of wins
DEC
1
17% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 4 (67%) 4 Dec: 1 (17%) 1
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
1 20%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1539
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.2
actual 0 vs expected