HonestElo
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Mats Nilsson

Inactive Provisional · Orthodox · 185 cm
Elo rating
1504 ±20
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +58 · Δ1y +58
Last fight
Jan 3, 2015
L by Decision

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Mar 8, 2014 — L vs Luke Barnatt Δ-27Jan 3, 2015 — L vs Omari Akhmedov Δ-26 14071433146014871513 2015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":103.8,"elo":1473,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Luke Barnatt","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":156.2,"elo":1447,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 3, 2015 Omari Akhmedov L -26
Mar 8, 2014 Luke Barnatt L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.90 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.45 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
64% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.75 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
83% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.25 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1535
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
0.9
actual -1 vs expected