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Tucker Lutz

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1467 ±34
LCB 1423
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Jul 15, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
May 15, 2021 — W vs Kevin Aguilar Δ+27Nov 20, 2021 — L vs Pat Sabatini Δ-26Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Daniel Pineda Δ-33Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Δ-24 14031444148515261567 20222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":75.9,"elo":1527,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Kevin Aguilar","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":227.6,"y":109.6,"elo":1501,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Pat Sabatini","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":755.4,"y":152.7,"elo":1468,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Daniel Pineda","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":184.1,"elo":1443,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Melsik Baghdasaryan","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 15, 2023 Melsik Baghdasaryan L -24
Mar 25, 2023 Daniel Pineda L -33
Nov 20, 2021 Pat Sabatini L -26
May 15, 2021 Kevin Aguilar W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.27 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.36 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
42% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.91 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1515
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected