HonestElo
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Connor Matthews

Active #96 featherweight
Elo rating
1405 ±20
LCB 1379
Rank
#96
top 99% of division
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
May 17, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Dennis Buzukja Δ-39Feb 15, 2025 — L vs Jose Delgado Δ-29May 17, 2025 — L vs Yadier Del Valle Δ-27 13651399143314671501 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":86.3,"elo":1461,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Dennis Buzukja","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":1,"x":688.3,"y":132.2,"elo":1432,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Jose Delgado","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":173.7,"elo":1405,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Yadier Del Valle","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 17, 2025 Yadier Del Valle L -27
Feb 15, 2025 Jose Delgado L -29
Mar 30, 2024 Dennis Buzukja L -39

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.76 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.52 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.80 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
0% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1481
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.4
actual -1 vs expected