HonestElo
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Ricky Turcios

Active #91 featherweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1442 ±38
LCB 1392
Rank
#91
top 94% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d -16 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Aug 28, 2021 — W vs Brady Hiestand Δ+29Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Aiemann Zahabi Δ-31Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Kevin Natividad Δ+24Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Raul Rosas Jr. Δ-32Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Benardo Sopaj Δ-31Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Alberto Montes Δ-16 14021444148615271569 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":74.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Brady Hiestand","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":186.5,"y":114.4,"elo":1498,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Aiemann Zahabi","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":255.1,"y":84.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Kevin Natividad","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":547.5,"y":125.5,"elo":1489,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Raul Rosas Jr.","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":663,"y":164.4,"elo":1459,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Benardo Sopaj","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":185.1,"elo":1442,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Alberto Montes","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Alberto Montes L -16
Jan 18, 2025 Benardo Sopaj L -31
Jun 8, 2024 Raul Rosas Jr. L -32
Nov 19, 2022 Kevin Natividad W +24
Jul 9, 2022 Aiemann Zahabi L -31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.77 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.46 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.94 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.38 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1487
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.1
actual -1 vs expected