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Zachary Scroggin

Active Provisional · age 30 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Elo rating
1510
Global Elo 1536 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +59 · Δ1y +59
Last fight
Nov 9, 2024
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1m
Avg fight time
1:15
Since last fight
1y 7mo

Honest Elo history

1 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ-22 149015001510152015301540 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":280.1,"elo":1510,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 9, 2024 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos L -22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
—
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
—
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 3 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Leg
  • Head 33%
  • Body 0%
  • Leg 67%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
100% Distance
  • Distance 100%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 0%

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1616
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Zachary Scroggin on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.