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Tony Gravely

Inactive · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1519 ±35
LCB 1473
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Mar 11, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jan 25, 2020 — L vs Brett Johns Δ-30Nov 14, 2020 — W vs Geraldo de Freitas Δ+31Apr 17, 2021 — W vs Anthony Birchak Δ+30Sep 18, 2021 — L vs Nate Maness Δ-30Jan 22, 2022 — W vs Saimon Oliveira Δ+29Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Johnny Munoz Δ+17Sep 17, 2022 — L vs Javid Basharat Δ-17Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Victor Henry Δ-17 14301469150815471586 202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":181.8,"elo":1470,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Brett Johns","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":243.5,"y":139.6,"elo":1501,"date":"2020-11-14","opp":"Geraldo de Freitas","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":358.5,"y":99.2,"elo":1531,"date":"2021-04-17","opp":"Anthony Birchak","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":473.5,"y":140.4,"elo":1500,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Nate Maness","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":567.6,"y":101.4,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Saimon Oliveira","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":666.9,"y":78.2,"elo":1546,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Johnny Munoz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":745.3,"y":101,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Javid Basharat","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":123.6,"elo":1513,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Victor Henry","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 11, 2023 Victor Henry L -17
Sep 17, 2022 Javid Basharat L -17
Jun 4, 2022 Johnny Munoz W +17
Jan 22, 2022 Saimon Oliveira W +29
Sep 18, 2021 Nate Maness L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.09 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.32 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
43% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.95 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.0
actual 0 vs expected