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Mike van Arsdale

Inactive · age 61 · Switch · 6'2" 188 cm · 205 lb 93 kg
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 1998
Elo rating
1463
Global Elo 1512 ±38
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
Feb 4, 2006
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
39m
Avg fight time
9:48
Fights per year
0.5
Since last fight
20y 5mo

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
May 15, 1998 — W vs Joe Pardo Δ+33Apr 16, 2005 — W vs John Marsh Δ+26Aug 20, 2005 — L vs Randy Couture Δ-24Feb 4, 2006 — L vs Renato Sobral Δ-31 144014601480150015201540 2000200220042006 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":243.3,"elo":1492,"date":"1998-05-15","opp":"Joe Pardo","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":735,"y":159.8,"elo":1518,"date":"2005-04-16","opp":"John Marsh","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":767.1,"y":236.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2005-08-20","opp":"Randy Couture","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":336.4,"elo":1463,"date":"2006-02-04","opp":"Renato Sobral","result":"L","delta":-31}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 4, 2006 Renato Sobral L -31
Aug 20, 2005 Randy Couture L -24
Apr 16, 2005 John Marsh W +26
May 15, 1998 Joe Pardo W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 70 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 40%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Ground
  • Distance 24%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 69%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
2 of 2
0 KO/TKO 2 Sub 0 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Joe Pardo
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1554

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Mike van Arsdale on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.