HonestElo
← welterweight

Carlo Pedersoli Jr.

Inactive · Southpaw · 180 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1490 ±37
LCB 1442
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +24
Last fight
Feb 23, 2019
L by KO

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
May 27, 2018 — W vs Brad Scott Δ+27Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Alex Oliveira Δ-25Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Dwight Grant Δ-36 14261461149715321567 2019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":84.1,"elo":1527,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Brad Scott","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":393.6,"y":122,"elo":1502,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":175.9,"elo":1466,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Dwight Grant","result":"L","delta":-36}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 23, 2019 Dwight Grant L -36
Sep 22, 2018 Alex Oliveira L -25
May 27, 2018 Brad Scott W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.44 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.40 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.40 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.4
actual 0 vs expected