HonestElo
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Brad Blackburn

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1525 ±42
LCB 1470
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Apr 10, 2010
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 19, 2008 — W vs James Giboo Δ+33Dec 27, 2008 — W vs Ryo Chonan Δ+27Jun 20, 2009 — W vs Edgar Garcia Δ+24Jan 11, 2010 — L vs Amir Sadollah Δ-33Apr 10, 2010 — L vs DaMarques Johnson Δ-39 14721510154815861624 20092010 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":151,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-07-19","opp":"James Giboo","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":241.7,"y":113.3,"elo":1560,"date":"2008-12-27","opp":"Ryo Chonan","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":478.4,"y":79.9,"elo":1584,"date":"2009-06-20","opp":"Edgar Garcia","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":755.6,"y":126.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Amir Sadollah","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":180.1,"elo":1512,"date":"2010-04-10","opp":"DaMarques Johnson","result":"L","delta":-39}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 10, 2010 DaMarques Johnson L -39
Jan 11, 2010 Amir Sadollah L -33
Jun 20, 2009 Edgar Garcia W +24
Dec 27, 2008 Ryo Chonan W +27
Jul 19, 2008 James Giboo W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.20 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.31 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.86 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
77% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.64 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1507
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected