HonestElo
← featherweight

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Active #75 featherweight
Elo rating
1498 ±39
LCB 1447
Rank
#75
top 77% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Jun 15, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
May 22, 2021 — L vs Josh Culibao Δ-31Nov 20, 2021 — W vs Sean Soriano Δ+22Jun 25, 2022 — W vs TJ Brown Δ+30Nov 5, 2022 — W vs Darrick Minner Δ+30Apr 8, 2023 — L vs Steve Garcia Δ-37Jun 15, 2024 — L vs Melquizael Costa Δ-20 14291469150915501590 202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.6,"elo":1469,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Josh Culibao","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":162.5,"y":154.5,"elo":1491,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Sean Soriano","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":2,"x":327.5,"y":115.8,"elo":1520,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"TJ Brown","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":428.7,"y":76.4,"elo":1550,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Darrick Minner","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":545.9,"y":124.6,"elo":1514,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Steve Garcia","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":151.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Melquizael Costa","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 15, 2024 Melquizael Costa L -20
Apr 8, 2023 Steve Garcia L -37
Nov 5, 2022 Darrick Minner W +30
Jun 25, 2022 TJ Brown W +30
Nov 20, 2021 Sean Soriano W +22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.65 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.24 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.80 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
29% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.20 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1472
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual 0 vs expected