HonestElo
← featherweight

Josh Culibao

Active #57 featherweight · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1519 ±35
LCB 1473
Rank
#57
top 58% of division
UFC record
3-4-1
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Aug 17, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Feb 22, 2020 — L vs Jalin Turner Δ-35Oct 3, 2020 — D vs Charles Jourdain Δ+2May 22, 2021 — W vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Δ+32Jun 11, 2022 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+30Feb 11, 2023 — W vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Δ+36Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Lerone Murphy Δ-13Mar 16, 2024 — L vs Danny Silva Δ-18Aug 17, 2024 — L vs Ricardo Ramos Δ-16 14251470151515601605 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":188.8,"elo":1465,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":1,"x":140.5,"y":186.7,"elo":1467,"date":"2020-10-03","opp":"Charles Jourdain","result":"D","delta":2},{"i":2,"x":260.7,"y":149.5,"elo":1498,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Shayilan Nuerdanbieke","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":460.9,"y":113.7,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":588.4,"y":71.2,"elo":1565,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Melsik Baghdasaryan","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":5,"x":672.1,"y":86.8,"elo":1552,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Lerone Murphy","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":795.9,"y":108.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Danny Silva","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":127.2,"elo":1517,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Ricardo Ramos","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 17, 2024 Ricardo Ramos L -16
Mar 16, 2024 Danny Silva L -18
Jul 22, 2023 Lerone Murphy L -13
Feb 11, 2023 Melsik Baghdasaryan W +36
Jun 11, 2022 SeungWoo Choi W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.25 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.90 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
66% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.27 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.9
actual -1 vs expected