HonestElo
← bantamweight

Brad Pickett

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1479 ±32
LCB 1438
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Mar 18, 2017
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Nov 5, 2011 — L vs Renan Barao Δ-30Apr 14, 2012 — W vs Damacio Page Δ+33Sep 29, 2012 — W vs Yves Jabouin Δ+39Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Eddie Wineland Δ-33Apr 6, 2013 — W vs Mike Easton Δ+33Aug 17, 2013 — L vs Michael McDonald Δ-17Mar 8, 2014 — W vs Neil Seery Δ+15Jul 19, 2014 — L vs Ian McCall Δ-19Nov 22, 2014 — L vs Chico Camus Δ-17Jul 11, 2015 — L vs Thomas Almeida Δ-15Feb 27, 2016 — W vs Francisco Rivera Δ+17Oct 8, 2016 — L vs Iuri Alcantara Δ-16Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Urijah Faber Δ-12Mar 18, 2017 — L vs Marlon Vera Δ-17 14201460150115411581 201220132014201520162017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170.7,"elo":1470,"date":"2011-11-05","opp":"Renan Barao","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":94,"y":127.4,"elo":1503,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Damacio Page","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":167,"y":76.6,"elo":1541,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"Yves Jabouin","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":206.6,"y":120.2,"elo":1508,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Eddie Wineland","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":249.2,"y":77.2,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Mike Easton","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":307,"y":99.3,"elo":1524,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Michael McDonald","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":395.2,"y":79.7,"elo":1539,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":453,"y":104.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Ian McCall","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":507.8,"y":126.8,"elo":1503,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Chico Camus","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":608.2,"y":147,"elo":1488,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Thomas Almeida","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":708.6,"y":124.1,"elo":1505,"date":"2016-02-27","opp":"Francisco Rivera","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":806,"y":145.2,"elo":1489,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Iuri Alcantara","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":836.4,"y":161.3,"elo":1477,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":183.4,"elo":1460,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Marlon Vera","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 18, 2017 Marlon Vera L -17
Dec 17, 2016 Urijah Faber L -12
Oct 8, 2016 Iuri Alcantara L -16
Feb 27, 2016 Francisco Rivera W +17
Jul 11, 2015 Thomas Almeida L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.82 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
32% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.41 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.91 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.18 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1542
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.6
actual -2 vs expected