HonestElo
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Francis Carmont

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1579 ±36
LCB 1532
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Aug 23, 2014
L by KO

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Oct 29, 2011 — W vs Chris Camozzi Δ+31Apr 14, 2012 — W vs Magnus Cedenblad Δ+30Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Karlos Vemola Δ+28Nov 17, 2012 — W vs Tom Lawlor Δ+23Apr 20, 2013 — W vs Lorenz Larkin Δ+20Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Constantinos Philippou Δ+15Feb 15, 2014 — L vs Jacare Souza Δ-19May 31, 2014 — L vs CB Dollaway Δ-19Aug 23, 2014 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-18 14911540158916381687 201220132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":192.8,"elo":1531,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"Chris Camozzi","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":163.1,"y":160.1,"elo":1561,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Magnus Cedenblad","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":236,"y":130,"elo":1589,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Karlos Vemola","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":342.8,"y":104.9,"elo":1612,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":470.3,"y":83.5,"elo":1632,"date":"2013-04-20","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":597.8,"y":67.2,"elo":1647,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Constantinos Philippou","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":719.5,"y":87.6,"elo":1628,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":806.4,"y":108.7,"elo":1609,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":128.1,"elo":1591,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 23, 2014 Thales Leites L -18
May 31, 2014 CB Dollaway L -19
Feb 15, 2014 Jacare Souza L -19
Sep 21, 2013 Constantinos Philippou W +15
Apr 20, 2013 Lorenz Larkin W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.87 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.44 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.63 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.63 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1573
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +1 vs expected