HonestElo
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Cain Velasquez

Inactive Retired · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 196 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
Elo rating
1660 ±42
LCB 1606
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-3-0
KO 10 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -36 · Δ1y -36
Last fight
Feb 17, 2019
L by KO

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Apr 19, 2008 — W vs Brad Morris Δ+33Jul 19, 2008 — W vs Jake O'Brien Δ+35Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Denis Stojnic Δ+27Jun 13, 2009 — W vs Cheick Kongo Δ+29Oct 24, 2009 — W vs Ben Rothwell Δ+22Feb 20, 2010 — W vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Δ+15Oct 23, 2010 — W vs Brock Lesnar Δ+23Nov 12, 2011 — L vs Junior Dos Santos Δ-23May 26, 2012 — W vs Antonio Silva Δ+11Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+23May 25, 2013 — W vs Antonio Silva Δ+15Oct 19, 2013 — W vs Junior Dos Santos Δ+23Jun 13, 2015 — L vs Fabricio Werdum Δ-29Jul 9, 2016 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+15Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Francis Ngannou Δ-22 14931563163217021771 20102012201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":205.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Brad Morris","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":43.6,"y":178.9,"elo":1568,"date":"2008-07-19","opp":"Jake O'Brien","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":87.3,"y":158.5,"elo":1595,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Denis Stojnic","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":114.5,"y":136.3,"elo":1624,"date":"2009-06-13","opp":"Cheick Kongo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":143.1,"y":119.7,"elo":1646,"date":"2009-10-24","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":5,"x":168.7,"y":108.3,"elo":1661,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":221.5,"y":90.7,"elo":1684,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Brock Lesnar","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":7,"x":304.4,"y":108.6,"elo":1660,"date":"2011-11-12","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":8,"x":346.6,"y":100.6,"elo":1671,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Antonio Silva","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":393.4,"y":83.3,"elo":1694,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":10,"x":425,"y":72.1,"elo":1708,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Antonio Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":11,"x":456.7,"y":54.5,"elo":1731,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Junior Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":12,"x":586.3,"y":76.7,"elo":1702,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Fabricio Werdum","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":13,"x":670.8,"y":65,"elo":1718,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":81.9,"elo":1695,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Francis Ngannou","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 17, 2019 Francis Ngannou L -22
Jul 9, 2016 Travis Browne W +15
Jun 13, 2015 Fabricio Werdum L -29
Oct 19, 2013 Junior Dos Santos W +23
May 25, 2013 Antonio Silva W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.96 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
58% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.83 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.52 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.31 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
10 / 12
Finish rate
KO
10
83% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
17% of wins
KO: 10 (83%) 10 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (17%) 2
Finishes by round
10 total
R1
7 70%
R2
2 20%
R3
R4
R5
1 10%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1639
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.5
actual +4 vs expected