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Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira "Minotauro"

Inactive · age 50 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 240 lb 109 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2007
Elo rating
1480
Global Elo 1531 ±39
Rank
UFC record
5-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
Aug 1, 2015
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 33m
Avg fight time
8:29
Title fights
1-1
Bonuses
6
Fights per year
1.4
Ground control
23m
Since last fight
10y 11mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jul 7, 2007 — W vs Heath Herring Δ+29Feb 2, 2008 — W vs Tim Sylvia Δ+53Dec 27, 2008 — L vs Frank Mir Δ-38Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Randy Couture Δ+38Feb 20, 2010 — L vs Cain Velasquez Δ-27Aug 27, 2011 — W vs Brendan Schaub Δ+20Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Frank Mir Δ-16Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Dave Herman Δ+14Jun 8, 2013 — L vs Fabricio Werdum Δ-18Apr 11, 2014 — L vs Roy Nelson Δ-18Aug 1, 2015 — L vs Stefan Struve Δ-14 146014801500152015401560 2009201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":324.9,"elo":1487,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Heath Herring","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":141.3,"y":155.9,"elo":1539,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Tim Sylvia","result":"W","delta":53},{"i":2,"x":221.7,"y":276.9,"elo":1502,"date":"2008-12-27","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":3,"x":281.5,"y":156.2,"elo":1539,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Randy Couture","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":4,"x":324.3,"y":243,"elo":1512,"date":"2010-02-20","opp":"Cain Velasquez","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":459.4,"y":178.6,"elo":1532,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Brendan Schaub","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":485.1,"y":228.6,"elo":1517,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":560.3,"y":184.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Dave Herman","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":618.5,"y":242.3,"elo":1512,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Fabricio Werdum","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":693.5,"y":299.9,"elo":1494,"date":"2014-04-11","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":346,"elo":1480,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 1, 2015 Stefan Struve L -14
Apr 11, 2014 Roy Nelson L -18
Jun 8, 2013 Fabricio Werdum L -18
Oct 13, 2012 Dave Herman W +14
Dec 10, 2011 Frank Mir L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 264 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 19%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
83%
of losses by finish
5 of 6 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Randy Couture
Elo 1655 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.0
−0.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1501
1571

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.