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Chelsea Chandler

Active #17 womens bantamweight · age 35 · Southpaw · 5'8" 173 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • 2 submissions in a row
  • 75% of wins by KO or submission
  • 75% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1463
Global Elo 1513 ±39
Rank
#17
top 55% of division
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
+2
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +39
Last fight
Oct 17, 2026
Win by Submission · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ+28Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Norma Dumont Δ-26Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Josiane Nunes Δ+35Aug 10, 2024 — L vs Yana Santos Δ-32Apr 26, 2025 — L vs Joselyne Edwards Δ-31Jun 6, 2026 — W vs Priscila Cachoeira Δ+18Oct 17, 2026 — W vs Melissa Croden Δ+21 1400142014401460148015001520 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":204.1,"elo":1477,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":229.9,"y":272.7,"elo":1452,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Norma Dumont","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":349.3,"y":178.3,"elo":1487,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Josiane Nunes","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":421,"y":263.1,"elo":1455,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Yana Santos","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":547.3,"y":346.8,"elo":1424,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Joselyne Edwards","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":745.2,"y":299.3,"elo":1442,"date":"2026-06-06","opp":"Priscila Cachoeira","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":243.3,"elo":1463,"date":"2026-10-17","opp":"Melissa Croden","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 17, 2026 Melissa Croden W +21
Jun 6, 2026 Priscila Cachoeira W +18
Apr 26, 2025 Joselyne Edwards L -31
Aug 10, 2024 Yana Santos L -32
Mar 16, 2024 Josiane Nunes W +35
1 post-fight bonus
  • Performance of the Night ×1
$50,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Chelsea Chandler has earned 1. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 207 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 3%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
59% Distance
  • Distance 59%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 16%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1523
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Josiane Nunes
Elo 1583 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1442
1541
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 0m
Avg fight time
8:37
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
0d
Bonuses
1
Ground control
17m
vs Compare Chelsea Chandler with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top womens bantamweight

See full rankings →
Ailin Perez
#1 · Elo 1591
Kayla Harrison C
#2 · Elo 1589
Luana Santos
#3 · Elo 1577
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
#4 · Elo 1573
Bia Mesquita
#5 · Elo 1565
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Chelsea Chandler on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.