HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Chelsea Chandler

Active #34 womens bantamweight
Elo rating
1474 ±41
LCB 1421
Rank
#34
top 92% of division
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -31
Last fight
Apr 26, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Julija Stoliarenko Δ+28Jul 15, 2023 — L vs Norma Dumont Δ-26Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Josiane Nunes Δ+35Aug 10, 2024 — L vs Yana Santos Δ-32Apr 26, 2025 — L vs Joselyne Edwards Δ-31 14341470150615421577 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":97.6,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Julija Stoliarenko","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":284.7,"y":135.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2023-07-15","opp":"Norma Dumont","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":507.2,"y":83.2,"elo":1537,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Josiane Nunes","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":640.7,"y":130.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Yana Santos","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":176.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Joselyne Edwards","result":"L","delta":-31}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 26, 2025 Joselyne Edwards L -31
Aug 10, 2024 Yana Santos L -32
Mar 16, 2024 Josiane Nunes W +35
Jul 15, 2023 Norma Dumont L -26
Oct 1, 2022 Julija Stoliarenko W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.35 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.18 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
40% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.82 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
60% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
29% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1523
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual 0 vs expected