HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Julianna Pena

Active #8 womens bantamweight · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1603 ±45
LCB 1545
Rank
#8
top 19% of division
UFC record
8-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
Jun 7, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2013 — W vs Jessica Rakoczy Δ+41Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Milana Dudieva Δ+32Oct 3, 2015 — W vs Jessica Eye Δ+21Jul 9, 2016 — W vs Cat Zingano Δ+24Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-41Jul 13, 2019 — W vs Nicco Montano Δ+14Oct 3, 2020 — L vs Germaine de Randamie Δ-17Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Sara McMann Δ+15Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Amanda Nunes Δ+33Jul 30, 2022 — L vs Amanda Nunes Δ-15Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Raquel Pennington Δ+22Jun 7, 2025 — L vs Kayla Harrison Δ-27 15011543158516271669 201520172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.5,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-11-30","opp":"Jessica Rakoczy","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":123.2,"y":145.4,"elo":1573,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Milana Dudieva","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":160.1,"y":118.5,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-10-03","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":3,"x":216.8,"y":88.2,"elo":1618,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Cat Zingano","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":257.9,"y":139.5,"elo":1578,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":5,"x":439.4,"y":121.8,"elo":1592,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Nicco Montano","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":530.1,"y":144,"elo":1574,"date":"2020-10-03","opp":"Germaine de Randamie","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":552.8,"y":125.2,"elo":1589,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Sara McMann","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":618,"y":83.6,"elo":1622,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":9,"x":664.8,"y":102.2,"elo":1607,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":826.4,"y":74.5,"elo":1629,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Raquel Pennington","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":108.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Kayla Harrison","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 7, 2025 Kayla Harrison L -27
Oct 5, 2024 Raquel Pennington W +22
Jul 30, 2022 Amanda Nunes L -15
Dec 11, 2021 Amanda Nunes W +33
Jan 23, 2021 Sara McMann W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.99 avg 3.70
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.47 avg 3.02
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.64 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
24% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.73 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1637
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.2
actual +2 vs expected