HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Hailey Cowan

Active Provisional #29 womens bantamweight
Elo rating
1475 ±20
LCB 1449
Rank
#29
top 78% of division
UFC record
0-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +31 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Apr 12, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Jamey-Lyn Horth Δ-29Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Nora Cornolle Δ-27 14041431145814841511 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":103.2,"elo":1471,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Jamey-Lyn Horth","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":156.8,"elo":1444,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Nora Cornolle","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 12, 2025 Nora Cornolle L -27
Apr 29, 2023 Jamey-Lyn Horth L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.64 avg 3.71
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.36 avg 2.99
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
28% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.80 avg 1.27
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.39
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
0.9
actual -1 vs expected