HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Sara McMann

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1519 ±36
LCB 1472
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
+1
Δ90d +6 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Mar 26, 2022
W by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Apr 27, 2013 — W vs Sheila Gaff Δ+33Feb 22, 2014 — L vs Ronda Rousey Δ-36Aug 16, 2014 — W vs Lauren Murphy Δ+29Jan 31, 2015 — L vs Miesha Tate Δ-31Aug 8, 2015 — L vs Amanda Nunes Δ-27May 29, 2016 — W vs Jessica Eye Δ+16Dec 3, 2016 — W vs Alexis Davis Δ+23Feb 19, 2017 — W vs Gina Mazany Δ+18Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Ketlen Vieira Δ-17Feb 24, 2018 — L vs Marion Reneau Δ-16Jan 25, 2020 — W vs Lina Lansberg Δ+17Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Julianna Pena Δ-15Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Karol Rosa Δ+21 14271464150015371573 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":82.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2013-04-27","opp":"Sheila Gaff","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":102.8,"y":135.1,"elo":1497,"date":"2014-02-22","opp":"Ronda Rousey","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":148.6,"y":92.8,"elo":1526,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":192.6,"y":138.1,"elo":1495,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":242,"y":177.9,"elo":1467,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Amanda Nunes","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":319.3,"y":155.3,"elo":1483,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Jessica Eye","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":368.5,"y":121.7,"elo":1506,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":7,"x":388.9,"y":95.4,"elo":1524,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Gina Mazany","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":441.8,"y":119.7,"elo":1507,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Ketlen Vieira","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":485.7,"y":143.4,"elo":1491,"date":"2018-02-24","opp":"Marion Reneau","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":10,"x":669,"y":119.3,"elo":1508,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Lina Lansberg","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":764.2,"y":140.9,"elo":1493,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Julianna Pena","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":110.8,"elo":1513,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Karol Rosa","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 26, 2022 Karol Rosa W +21
Jan 23, 2021 Julianna Pena L -15
Jan 25, 2020 Lina Lansberg W +17
Feb 24, 2018 Marion Reneau L -16
Sep 9, 2017 Ketlen Vieira L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.85 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.82 avg 3.00
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
44% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.89 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
56% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
25% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.43 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
8 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
43%
3 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
2
29% of wins
DEC
4
57% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 2 (29%) 2 Dec: 4 (57%) 4
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1556
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.9
actual +1 vs expected