HonestElo
← womens bantamweight

Karol Rosa

Active #12 womens bantamweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1570 ±37
LCB 1523
Rank
#12
top 31% of division
UFC record
8-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 8
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Aug 2, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Lara Procopio Δ+29Jul 11, 2020 — W vs Vanessa Melo Δ+22Feb 6, 2021 — W vs Joselyne Edwards Δ+27Oct 2, 2021 — W vs Bethe Correia Δ+22Mar 26, 2022 — L vs Sara McMann Δ-37Oct 22, 2022 — W vs Lina Lansberg Δ+12Apr 22, 2023 — L vs Norma Dumont Δ-17Jul 1, 2023 — W vs Yana Santos Δ+14Dec 16, 2023 — L vs Irene Aldana Δ-16Aug 10, 2024 — W vs Pannie Kianzad Δ+14Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Ailin Perez Δ-15Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Nora Cornolle Δ+16 14891527156416021640 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":179.8,"elo":1529,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Lara Procopio","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":148.1,"y":148.8,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Vanessa Melo","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":2,"x":230.8,"y":111.2,"elo":1578,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Joselyne Edwards","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":324.5,"y":80.2,"elo":1600,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Bethe Correia","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":4,"x":393.5,"y":132.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Sara McMann","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":476.2,"y":115.8,"elo":1574,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Lina Lansberg","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":6,"x":547.9,"y":140,"elo":1557,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Norma Dumont","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":575.5,"y":120.2,"elo":1571,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Yana Santos","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":641.6,"y":142.6,"elo":1555,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Irene Aldana","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":735.4,"y":122.7,"elo":1570,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Pannie Kianzad","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":798.8,"y":144.5,"elo":1554,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Ailin Perez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":121.4,"elo":1570,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Nora Cornolle","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 2, 2025 Nora Cornolle W +16
Jan 18, 2025 Ailin Perez L -15
Aug 10, 2024 Pannie Kianzad W +14
Dec 16, 2023 Irene Aldana L -16
Jul 1, 2023 Yana Santos W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.88 avg 3.60
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.59 avg 2.95
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.17 avg 1.29
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
70% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.17 avg 0.38
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 8
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
8
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 8 (100%) 8

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1549
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.7
actual +1 vs expected