HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Tracy Cortez

Active #8 womens flyweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 165 cm
Elo rating
1611 ±29
LCB 1574
Rank
#8
top 19% of division
UFC record
6-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Nov 16, 2019 — W vs Vanessa Melo Δ+27Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Stephanie Egger Δ+27Apr 17, 2021 — W vs Justine Kish Δ+24May 7, 2022 — W vs Melissa Gatto Δ+27Sep 16, 2023 — W vs Jasmine Jasudavicius Δ+25Jul 13, 2024 — L vs Rose Namajunas Δ-16Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Viviane Araujo Δ+14Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Erin Blanchfield Δ-16 14871532157816241670 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189.7,"elo":1527,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Vanessa Melo","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":151.9,"y":158.9,"elo":1553,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Stephanie Egger","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":225.4,"y":130.6,"elo":1578,"date":"2021-04-17","opp":"Justine Kish","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":375.1,"y":99.1,"elo":1605,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Melissa Gatto","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":568.4,"y":70.3,"elo":1630,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Jasmine Jasudavicius","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":685.5,"y":88.7,"elo":1614,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":821.6,"y":72.5,"elo":1628,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Viviane Araujo","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":91.5,"elo":1611,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Erin Blanchfield","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Erin Blanchfield L -16
Jun 28, 2025 Viviane Araujo W +14
Jul 13, 2024 Rose Namajunas L -16
Sep 16, 2023 Jasmine Jasudavicius W +25
May 7, 2022 Melissa Gatto W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.78 avg 3.78
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.06 avg 3.57
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.92 avg 1.30
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
58% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.36 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (100%) 6

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1597
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.3
actual +2 vs expected