Other bouts 12
- 1bantamweight MainSong YadongvsDeiveson Figueiredo
- 2light heavyweightAlonzo MenifieldvsZhang Mingyang
- 3heavyweightSergei PavlovichvsTallison Teixeira
- 5welterweightJake MatthewsvsCarlston Harris
- 6flyweightAlex PerezvsSumudaerji
- 7middleweightLuis Felipe DiasvsYiSak Lee
- 8welterweightJose SouzavsDing Meng
- 8bantamweightCody HaddonvsAoriqileng
- 10bantamweightRei TsuruyavsLuis Gurule
- 10women's strawweightAngela HillvsXiong Jingnan
- 11women's strawweightJaqueline AmorimvsLoma Lookboonmee
- 12featherweightRodrigo VeravsZhu Kangjie
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Kai Asakura 74.5% · Cameron Smotherman 25.5%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Kai Asakura 50.0% · Cameron Smotherman 50.0%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 12
Tale of the tape
| 1-2-0 | UFC record | 1-3-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -3 |
| 32 | Age | 28 |
| 5'8" 173 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 69" 175 cm | Reach | 69" 175 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1484 | Global Elo | 1440 |
| 1438 | Elo rating | 1396 |
Kai Asakura — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Cameron Smotherman — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Performance of the Night in last fight
Kai Asakura — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 47 landed total · career
- Head 70%
- Body 21%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 98%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 2%
Cameron Smotherman — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 186 landed total · career
- Head 60%
- Body 37%
- Leg 3%
- Distance 95%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.33
- 2Sean O'Malley6.10
- 3Adrian Yanez5.92
- 4Payton Talbott5.87
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley61%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.1.34
- 2Montel Jackson1.37
- 3Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 4Jafel Filho1.52
- 5Rinya Nakamura1.52
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Miles Johns67%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.6.76
- 2Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Dan Argueta4.91
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Rinya Nakamura88%
- 2Elijah Smith75%
- 3Santiago Luna71%
- 4Montel Jackson61%
- 5Benardo Sopaj60%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.8.53
- 2Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 3Rinya Nakamura7.81
- 4Rafael Estevam7.79
- 5Dan Argueta6.37
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Kai Asakura has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1556 vs 1507, 0 quality wins to 0.
- May 30, 2026
- Aug 16, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- May 30, 2026
- Jun 14, 2025
- May 3, 2025
- Oct 19, 2024