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✓ Kai Asakura won · by TKO · R1 · 1:50

Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman — Honest Elo matchup

bantamweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
May 30, 2026 · Macau, China
View full event card
Corner A
Kai Asakura
#48 2-2-0
Elo 1469
VS
Corner B
Cameron Smotherman
#66 1-3-0
Elo 1396
Final result · recorded May 30, 2026
Kai Asakura
defeated Cameron Smotherman by TKO in round 1 at 1:50

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Kai Asakura 74.5% · Cameron Smotherman 25.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Kai Asakura 50.0% · Cameron Smotherman 50.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 12
Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo Main event · bantamweight Alonzo Menifield vs Zhang Mingyang light heavyweight Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira heavyweight Jake Matthews vs Carlston Harris welterweight Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji flyweight Luis Felipe Dias vs YiSak Lee middleweight Jose Souza vs Ding Meng welterweight Cody Haddon vs Aoriqileng bantamweight Rei Tsuruya vs Luis Gurule bantamweight Angela Hill vs Xiong Jingnan women's strawweight Jaqueline Amorim vs Loma Lookboonmee women's strawweight Rodrigo Vera vs Zhu Kangjie featherweight

Tale of the tape

2-2-0 UFC record 1-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+2 Streak -3
32 Age 29
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
69" 175 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1517 Global Elo 1440
1469 Elo rating 1396
Kai Asakura — Notable ▼
At a glance
Cameron Smotherman — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround

Kai Asakura — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 74 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 1%
  • Ground 8%

Cameron Smotherman — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 186 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 37%
  • Leg 3%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
95% Distance
  • Distance 95%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.07
3.97
div avg 4.16
40%
37%
div avg 50%
3.15
3.37
div avg 3.34
52%
60%
div avg 58%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.99
0%
—
div avg 39%
50%
63%
div avg 67%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.45
1
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Kai Asakura
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Cameron Smotherman
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses
Cameron Smotherman
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kai Asakura
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Kai Asakura has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1536 vs 1507, 0 quality wins to 0.

Kai Asakura red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1536
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Aoriqileng
Elo 1478 at fight time
Expected wins
1.7
+0.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1684
1478
Cameron Smotherman blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1507
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jake Hadley
Elo 1491 at fight time
Expected wins
2.0
−1.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1491
1448
Corner A recent form
Kai Asakura
Corner B recent form
Cameron Smotherman
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Kai Asakura & Cameron Smotherman on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.