HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Lauren Murphy

Active #20 womens flyweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1528 ±36
LCB 1481
Rank
#20
top 53% of division
UFC record
8-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Jul 12, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 16, 2014 — L vs Sara McMann Δ-29Apr 4, 2015 — L vs Liz Carmouche Δ-31Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Kelly Faszholz Δ+39Jul 13, 2016 — L vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ-27Dec 1, 2017 — W vs Barb Honchak Δ+33Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Sijara Eubanks Δ-15Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+22Feb 8, 2020 — W vs Andrea Lee Δ+19Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ+15Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Liliya Shakirova Δ+17Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+16Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-15Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Miesha Tate Δ+16Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-13Jul 12, 2025 — L vs Eduarda Moura Δ-17 13991449149815481598 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":159.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Sara McMann","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":73.4,"y":193.2,"elo":1439,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":142.5,"y":151.7,"elo":1478,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Kelly Faszholz","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":173.1,"y":180.6,"elo":1451,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":281.3,"y":145.5,"elo":1484,"date":"2017-12-01","opp":"Barb Honchak","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":320.3,"y":161.7,"elo":1469,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Sijara Eubanks","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":411.8,"y":138.5,"elo":1491,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":452.2,"y":118.5,"elo":1509,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":480.7,"y":102.2,"elo":1524,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":507.6,"y":83.9,"elo":1542,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Liliya Shakirova","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":557.1,"y":67.1,"elo":1557,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":579.5,"y":83.6,"elo":1542,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":642.4,"y":66.8,"elo":1558,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":682.8,"y":80.8,"elo":1544,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":98.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Eduarda Moura","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 12, 2025 Eduarda Moura L -17
Jan 21, 2023 Jessica Andrade L -13
Jul 16, 2022 Miesha Tate W +16
Sep 25, 2021 Valentina Shevchenko L -15
Jun 12, 2021 Joanne Wood W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.84 avg 3.78
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.05 avg 3.50
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.07 avg 1.33
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.20 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
1 33%
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.0
actual +1 vs expected