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Lauren Murphy "Lucky"

Active #19 womens flyweight · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1483
Global Elo 1528 ±34
Rank
#19
top 50% of division
UFC record
8-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Jul 12, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 39m
Avg fight time
14:37
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.4
Since last fight
11mo

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 16, 2014 — L vs Sara McMann Δ-29Apr 4, 2015 — L vs Liz Carmouche Δ-31Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Kelly Faszholz Δ+39Jul 13, 2016 — L vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ-27Dec 1, 2017 — W vs Barb Honchak Δ+33Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Sijara Eubanks Δ-15Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Mara Romero Borella Δ+22Feb 8, 2020 — W vs Andrea Lee Δ+19Jun 20, 2020 — W vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ+15Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Liliya Shakirova Δ+17Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Joanne Wood Δ+16Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-15Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Miesha Tate Δ+16Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Jessica Andrade Δ-13Jul 12, 2025 — L vs Eduarda Moura Δ-17 13501400145015001550 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":287.8,"elo":1426,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Sara McMann","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":131.8,"y":338.2,"elo":1395,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Liz Carmouche","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":190.1,"y":276.1,"elo":1434,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Kelly Faszholz","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":216,"y":319.3,"elo":1407,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":4,"x":307.5,"y":266.8,"elo":1440,"date":"2017-12-01","opp":"Barb Honchak","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":340.4,"y":291.1,"elo":1424,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Sijara Eubanks","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":417.7,"y":256.4,"elo":1446,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Mara Romero Borella","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":451.9,"y":226.5,"elo":1465,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":475.9,"y":202.2,"elo":1480,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":498.7,"y":174.8,"elo":1497,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Liliya Shakirova","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":540.5,"y":149.7,"elo":1513,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Joanne Wood","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":559.5,"y":174.3,"elo":1497,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":612.6,"y":149.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":646.8,"y":170.2,"elo":1500,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":197,"elo":1483,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Eduarda Moura","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 12, 2025 Eduarda Moura L -17
Jan 21, 2023 Jessica Andrade L -13
Jul 16, 2022 Miesha Tate W +16
Sep 25, 2021 Valentina Shevchenko L -15
Jun 12, 2021 Joanne Wood W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
1 33%
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 864 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
75% Head
  • Head 75%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
73% Distance
  • Distance 73%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
14%
of losses by finish
1 of 7
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 6 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Andrea Lee
Elo 1550 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.0
+1.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1497
1528

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Valentina Shevchenko C
#1 · Elo 1683
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Lauren Murphy on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.