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Liz Carmouche "Girlrilla"

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1458
Global Elo 1505 ±36
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Aug 10, 2019
Loss by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 24m
Avg fight time
14:23
Title fights
0-2
Fights per year
1.5
Ground control
43m
Since last fight
6y 11mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Feb 23, 2013 — L vs Ronda Rousey Δ-41Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Jessica Andrade Δ+37Nov 6, 2013 — L vs Alexis Davis Δ-26Apr 19, 2014 — L vs Miesha Tate Δ-32Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Lauren Murphy Δ+32Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ+19Dec 9, 2017 — L vs Alexis Davis Δ-13Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Jennifer Maia Δ+17Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Lucie Pudilova Δ+16Aug 10, 2019 — L vs Valentina Shevchenko Δ-14 1380140014201440146014801500 201420152016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":297.5,"elo":1422,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Ronda Rousey","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":1,"x":137,"y":198.8,"elo":1459,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Jessica Andrade","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":168.1,"y":268.1,"elo":1433,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":218.2,"y":352.7,"elo":1402,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Miesha Tate","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":325,"y":268.7,"elo":1433,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Lauren Murphy","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":504.5,"y":219.1,"elo":1452,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":624.1,"y":252.4,"elo":1439,"date":"2017-12-09","opp":"Alexis Davis","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":690.4,"y":206.8,"elo":1456,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Jennifer Maia","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":758.7,"y":163.6,"elo":1472,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Lucie Pudilova","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":202.3,"elo":1458,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Valentina Shevchenko","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 10, 2019 Valentina Shevchenko L -14
Feb 23, 2019 Lucie Pudilova W +16
Jul 14, 2018 Jennifer Maia W +17
Dec 9, 2017 Alexis Davis L -13
Nov 12, 2016 Katlyn Cerminara W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
20%
1 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
80% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (80%) 4
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 314 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 29%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
1 of 5
0 KO/TKO 1 Sub 4 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1539
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Katlyn Cerminara
Elo 1527 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.5
+0.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1607

Top womens flyweight

See full rankings →
Valentina Shevchenko C
#1 · Elo 1683
Natalia Silva
#2 · Elo 1652
Erin Blanchfield
#3 · Elo 1651
Manon Fiorot
#4 · Elo 1641
Zhang Weili
#5 · Elo 1637
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Liz Carmouche on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.