HonestElo
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Chas Skelly

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1596 ±30
LCB 1557
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 4 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d -20 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Feb 19, 2022
W by KO

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Apr 19, 2014 — L vs Mirsad Bektic Δ-29Aug 23, 2014 — W vs Tom Niinimaki Δ+36Sep 5, 2014 — W vs Sean Soriano Δ+26Feb 14, 2015 — W vs Jim Alers Δ+33Nov 7, 2015 — W vs Edimilson Souza Δ+36Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-16Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Maximo Blanco Δ+16Feb 4, 2017 — W vs Chris Gruetzemacher Δ+15May 13, 2017 — L vs Jason Knight Δ-21Sep 14, 2019 — W vs Jordan Griffin Δ+11Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Mark Striegl Δ+12 14311487154416001656 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":198.3,"elo":1471,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Mirsad Bektic","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":61.5,"y":164.7,"elo":1507,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Tom Niinimaki","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":65.4,"y":140.6,"elo":1532,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Sean Soriano","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":113.6,"y":109.7,"elo":1565,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Jim Alers","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":192.7,"y":75.9,"elo":1601,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Edimilson Souza","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":5,"x":228.1,"y":91.4,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":286.5,"y":76.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Maximo Blanco","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":328.1,"y":62.9,"elo":1615,"date":"2017-02-04","opp":"Chris Gruetzemacher","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":357.3,"y":82.7,"elo":1594,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Jason Knight","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":611.4,"y":72.7,"elo":1605,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Jordan Griffin","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":61.7,"elo":1616,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Mark Striegl","result":"W","delta":12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 19, 2022 Mark Striegl W +12
Sep 14, 2019 Jordan Griffin W +11
May 13, 2017 Jason Knight L -21
Feb 4, 2017 Chris Gruetzemacher W +15
Sep 17, 2016 Maximo Blanco W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.57 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.72 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.44 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
41% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.04 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
4
50% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 4 (50%) 4 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
4 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1513
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.1
actual +2 vs expected