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Dave Herman

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1458 ±30
LCB 1418
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +32 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Jul 6, 2013
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jun 11, 2011 — W vs Jon Olav Einemo Δ+33Feb 15, 2012 — L vs Stefan Struve Δ-30May 26, 2012 — L vs Roy Nelson Δ-29Oct 13, 2012 — L vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Δ-25Jul 6, 2013 — L vs Gabriel Gonzaga Δ-22 13861433147915261573 20122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":69.3,"elo":1533,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Jon Olav Einemo","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":304.6,"y":103.6,"elo":1503,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":418.4,"y":136.8,"elo":1473,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":576.2,"y":165.3,"elo":1448,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":190.7,"elo":1426,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Gabriel Gonzaga","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 6, 2013 Gabriel Gonzaga L -22
Oct 13, 2012 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira L -25
May 26, 2012 Roy Nelson L -29
Feb 15, 2012 Stefan Struve L -30
Jun 11, 2011 Jon Olav Einemo W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.13 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
59% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.65 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.13 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (100%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1546
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual -1 vs expected