HonestElo
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Brendan Schaub

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1552 ±39
LCB 1501
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Dec 6, 2014
L by KO

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Dec 5, 2009 — L vs Roy Nelson Δ-41Mar 21, 2010 — W vs Chase Gormley Δ+34Jul 3, 2010 — W vs Chris Tuchscherer Δ+34Oct 23, 2010 — W vs Gabriel Gonzaga Δ+32Mar 19, 2011 — W vs Mirko Filipovic Δ+28Aug 27, 2011 — L vs Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira Δ-20Apr 21, 2012 — L vs Ben Rothwell Δ-23Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Lavar Johnson Δ+16Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Matt Mitrione Δ+21Jun 14, 2014 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-14Dec 6, 2014 — L vs Travis Browne Δ-15 14191471152315751627 20102011201220132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":195.3,"elo":1459,"date":"2009-12-05","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":1,"x":73.4,"y":160.9,"elo":1493,"date":"2010-03-21","opp":"Chase Gormley","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":121.9,"y":126,"elo":1527,"date":"2010-07-03","opp":"Chris Tuchscherer","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":174.2,"y":93.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Gabriel Gonzaga","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":242.7,"y":64.7,"elo":1587,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Mirko Filipovic","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":317.8,"y":85.1,"elo":1567,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":428.8,"y":108.5,"elo":1544,"date":"2012-04-21","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":7,"x":572.4,"y":92.7,"elo":1560,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Lavar Johnson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":670.3,"y":71.4,"elo":1581,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Matt Mitrione","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":794.4,"y":85.4,"elo":1567,"date":"2014-06-14","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":100.8,"elo":1552,"date":"2014-12-06","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2014 Travis Browne L -15
Jun 14, 2014 Andrei Arlovski L -14
Sep 21, 2013 Matt Mitrione W +21
Feb 23, 2013 Lavar Johnson W +16
Apr 21, 2012 Ben Rothwell L -23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.39 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.81 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.89 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.32 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
4 / 6
Finish rate
KO
3
50% of wins
SUB
1
17% of wins
DEC
2
33% of wins
KO: 3 (50%) 3 Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 2 (33%) 2
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1576
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.5
actual +1 vs expected