HonestElo
← heavyweight

Antonio Silva

Inactive · Orthodox · 193 cm · reach 208 cm
Elo rating
1501 ±26
LCB 1467
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-7-1
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Sep 24, 2016
L by KO

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
May 26, 2012 — L vs Cain Velasquez Δ-19Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Travis Browne Δ+46Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Alistair Overeem Δ+35May 25, 2013 — L vs Cain Velasquez Δ-26Dec 6, 2013 — D vs Mark Hunt Δ+5Sep 13, 2014 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-13Feb 22, 2015 — L vs Frank Mir Δ-16Aug 1, 2015 — W vs Soa Palelei Δ+21Nov 14, 2015 — L vs Mark Hunt Δ-16May 8, 2016 — L vs Stefan Struve Δ-15Sep 24, 2016 — L vs Roy Nelson Δ-16 14411481152215621602 2013201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.3,"elo":1481,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Cain Velasquez","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":1,"x":95.1,"y":122.7,"elo":1527,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Travis Browne","result":"W","delta":46},{"i":2,"x":159.7,"y":76.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Alistair Overeem","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":220,"y":111.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Cain Velasquez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":325.1,"y":105.2,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-12-06","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"D","delta":5},{"i":5,"x":476.4,"y":122.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2014-09-13","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":563.6,"y":144.3,"elo":1511,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Frank Mir","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":649.8,"y":117.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Soa Palelei","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":706.4,"y":138.9,"elo":1515,"date":"2015-11-14","opp":"Mark Hunt","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":801.1,"y":159.3,"elo":1499,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":180.9,"elo":1483,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Roy Nelson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 24, 2016 Roy Nelson L -16
May 8, 2016 Stefan Struve L -15
Nov 14, 2015 Mark Hunt L -16
Aug 1, 2015 Soa Palelei W +21
Feb 22, 2015 Frank Mir L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.04 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.27 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
62% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
3
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (100%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1558
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.4
actual -1 vs expected