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Timur Valiev "Lucky"

Inactive · age 36 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1483
Global Elo 1535 ±40
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-1-0 (1 NC)
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Mar 19, 2022
Loss by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Aug 22, 2020 — NC vs Trevin Jones Δ0Feb 6, 2021 — W vs Martin Day Δ+21Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Raoni Barcelos Δ+38Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Jack Shore Δ-25 1420144014601480150015201540 20212022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":334,"elo":1449,"date":"2020-08-22","opp":"Trevin Jones","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":1,"x":300.7,"y":277.2,"elo":1470,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Martin Day","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":2,"x":476.3,"y":176.1,"elo":1508,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Raoni Barcelos","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":810,"y":243.1,"elo":1483,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Jack Shore","result":"L","delta":-25}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 19, 2022 Jack Shore L -25
Jun 26, 2021 Raoni Barcelos W +38
Feb 6, 2021 Martin Day W +21
Aug 22, 2020 Trevin Jones NC 0
2 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×1
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$100,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Timur Valiev has earned 2. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 270 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
47% Head
  • Head 47%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 26%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 1 loss went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Raoni Barcelos
Elo 1636 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 4 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1604
Notable wins
Raoni Barcelos 1636
Career at a glance
Octagon time
52m
Avg fight time
13:00
Fights per year
2.5
Since last fight
4y 5mo
Bonuses
2
Ground control
14m
vs Compare Timur Valiev with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1677
Umar Nurmagomedov
#2 · Elo 1649
Petr Yan C
#3 · Elo 1648
Farid Basharat
#4 · Elo 1640
Sean O'Malley
#5 · Elo 1632
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Timur Valiev on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.