Ollie Schmid "The Hungarian Stallion"
Active Provisional · age 25 · Orthodox ·
6'0" 183 cm ·
145 lb 66 kg · reach
71" 180 cm
Elo rating
1485
Global Elo 1511 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +42 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
May 2, 2026
Loss by KO · R1
UFC debut the one fight we've seen
Lost by KO/TKO · Round 1
Debut opponent
Marwan Rahiki 1530
Elo at fight time
The model gave Schmid a 46% pre-fight chance against this opponent. It went the other way.
Debut performance
3.2
Strikes landed / min
30%
Striking accuracy
45%
Striking defense
This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3m
Avg fight time
2:47
Since last fight
4mo
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Honest Elo history
1 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Marwan Rahiki | L | -30 |
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Hyder Amil7.28
- 2Michael Aswell Jr.6.72
- 3Luke Riley6.67
- 4Fernando Padilla6.07
- 5Julian Erosa6.06
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Jack Jenkins60%
- 5Kai Kamaka Iii59%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Striking Defense
- 1Miles Johns67%
- 2Mairon Santos66%
- 3Yadier Del Valle66%
- 4Youssef Zalal65%
- 5Steve Garcia63%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Yadier Del Valle100%
- 2Gaston Bolanos75%
- 3Erik Silva75%
- 4Jean Silva71%
- 5Joanderson Brito67%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Gabriel Santos88%
- 5Sean Woodson87%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Herbert Burns1.57
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Jonathan Pearce6.86
- 4Bogdan Grad6.76
- 5Jordan Leavitt5.97
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · featherweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Kevin Vallejos2.13
- 2Steve Garcia1.76
- 3Luke Riley1.27
- 4Jean Silva1.25
- 5Jose Delgado1.24
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 9 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
67% Leg
- Head 0%
- Body 33%
- Leg 67%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
100% Distance
- Distance 100%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 0%
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1530
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.5
−0.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3m
Avg fight time
2:47
Since last fight
4mo
Top featherweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Ollie Schmid on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.