Keiichiro Nakamura vs Ollie Schmid — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1welterweight MainGabriel BonfimvsSean Brady
- 2women's strawweightTatiana SuarezvsVirna Jandiroba
- 3middleweightMantas KondrataviciusvsWes Schultz
- 4Not linkedlight heavyweightBilly ElekanavsLucas Fernando
- 5featherweightAustin BashivsLucas Brennan
- 6women's flyweightKarine SilvavsGabriella Fernandes
- 7Not linkedwomen's bantamweightPriscila CachoeiravsNina Milosevic
- 9welterweightSeokhyeon KovsWellington Turman
- 10welterweightJonny ParsonsvsJose Souza
- 11bantamweightDavey GrantvsElijah Smith
- 12featherweightJose DelanovsMurtazali Magomedov
- 13Not linkedheavyweightGabriel LorencovsAlvin Hines
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
No stable weight basis for this pairing (catchweight history) — no size adjustment applied.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 1-0-0 | UFC record | 0-1-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -1 |
| 27 | Age | 25 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 70" 178 cm | Reach | 71" 180 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1499 | Global Elo | 1513 |
| 1473 | Elo rating | 1487 |
Keiichiro Nakamura — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Ollie Schmid — Notable ▼
Keiichiro Nakamura — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 45 landed total · career
- Head 47%
- Body 24%
- Leg 29%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 2%
- Ground 7%
Ollie Schmid — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 9 landed total · career
- Head 0%
- Body 33%
- Leg 67%
- Distance 100%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Ollie Schmid has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1530 vs 1500, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Jan 31, 2026
- May 2, 2026