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Jake Collier "The Prototype"

Inactive · age 37 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 230 lb 104 kg · reach 78" 198 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1425
Global Elo 1466 ±32
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +30 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Sep 23, 2023
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 29m
Avg fight time
10:36
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
2y 9mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Dec 20, 2014 — L vs Vitor Miranda Δ-36Jun 6, 2015 — W vs Ricardo Abreu Δ+35Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Dongi Yang Δ-37May 29, 2016 — W vs Alberto Uda Δ+37Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Devin Clark Δ-29Nov 11, 2017 — W vs Marcel Fortuna Δ+18Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Tom Aspinall Δ-18Dec 5, 2020 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+17Jun 12, 2021 — L vs Carlos Felipe Δ-14Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Chase Sherman Δ+16Apr 30, 2022 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-11Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Chris Barnett Δ-18Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Martin Buday Δ-12Sep 23, 2023 — L vs Mohammed Usman Δ-11 1400142014401460148015001520 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":271.9,"elo":1452,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Vitor Miranda","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":127.8,"y":179.9,"elo":1486,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Ricardo Abreu","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":167.2,"y":278,"elo":1450,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Dongi Yang","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":208.4,"y":179.9,"elo":1486,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Alberto Uda","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":280.6,"y":256.7,"elo":1458,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":327.9,"y":210,"elo":1475,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Marcel Fortuna","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":550,"y":257.2,"elo":1457,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":580,"y":211.6,"elo":1474,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":622.5,"y":248.9,"elo":1460,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Carlos Felipe","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":671.4,"y":204.9,"elo":1477,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":695,"y":234.5,"elo":1466,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":11,"x":724.9,"y":283.9,"elo":1447,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Chris Barnett","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":776.9,"y":314.8,"elo":1436,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Martin Buday","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":344.1,"elo":1425,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Mohammed Usman","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 23, 2023 Mohammed Usman L -11
Apr 29, 2023 Martin Buday L -12
Sep 10, 2022 Chris Barnett L -18
Apr 30, 2022 Andrei Arlovski L -11
Jan 15, 2022 Chase Sherman W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 862 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
44%
of losses by finish
4 of 9 · usually R1
4 KO/TKO 0 Sub 5 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ricardo Abreu
Elo 1533 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.4
−1.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1464
1559

Top heavyweight

See full rankings →
Ciryl Gane IC
#1 · Elo 1691
Alexander Volkov
#2 · Elo 1656
Alex Pereira
#3 · Elo 1655
Tom Aspinall C
#4 · Elo 1654
Sergei Pavlovich
#5 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jake Collier on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.