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Jake Collier

Inactive · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1463 ±30
LCB 1425
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-9-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +26 · Δ1y +26
Last fight
Sep 23, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Dec 20, 2014 — L vs Vitor Miranda Δ-36Jun 6, 2015 — W vs Ricardo Abreu Δ+35Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Dongi Yang Δ-37May 29, 2016 — W vs Alberto Uda Δ+37Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Devin Clark Δ-29Nov 11, 2017 — W vs Marcel Fortuna Δ+18Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Tom Aspinall Δ-18Dec 5, 2020 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+17Jun 12, 2021 — L vs Carlos Felipe Δ-14Jan 15, 2022 — W vs Chase Sherman Δ+16Apr 30, 2022 — L vs Andrei Arlovski Δ-11Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Chris Barnett Δ-18Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Martin Buday Δ-12Sep 23, 2023 — L vs Mohammed Usman Δ-11 13961432146715031538 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":135.5,"elo":1464,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Vitor Miranda","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":68.7,"y":83.9,"elo":1498,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Ricardo Abreu","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":2,"x":115.4,"y":139,"elo":1461,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Dongi Yang","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":164.1,"y":83.9,"elo":1498,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Alberto Uda","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":249.6,"y":127,"elo":1469,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":305.5,"y":100.8,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Marcel Fortuna","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":568.4,"y":127.3,"elo":1469,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Tom Aspinall","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":7,"x":603.8,"y":101.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":654.1,"y":122.7,"elo":1472,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Carlos Felipe","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":711.9,"y":98,"elo":1489,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"Chase Sherman","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":739.9,"y":114.6,"elo":1478,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":11,"x":775.3,"y":142.3,"elo":1459,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Chris Barnett","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":836.8,"y":159.6,"elo":1447,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Martin Buday","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":176.1,"elo":1436,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Mohammed Usman","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 23, 2023 Mohammed Usman L -11
Apr 29, 2023 Martin Buday L -12
Sep 10, 2022 Chris Barnett L -18
Apr 30, 2022 Andrei Arlovski L -11
Jan 15, 2022 Chase Sherman W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.22 avg 3.03
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.57 avg 2.72
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 51%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.64 avg 1.32
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
68% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.55 avg 0.30
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
1
20% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.4
actual -1 vs expected