HonestElo
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Chris Barnett

Elo rating
1464 ±36
LCB 1417
Rank
#50
top 96% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -15
Last fight
Oct 25, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
May 22, 2021 — L vs Ben Rothwell Δ-28Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+34Apr 16, 2022 — L vs Martin Buday Δ-29Sep 10, 2022 — W vs Jake Collier Δ+33Oct 26, 2024 — L vs Kennedy Nzechukwu Δ-31Oct 25, 2025 — L vs Hamdy Abdelwahab Δ-15 14241455148615181549 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":154.7,"elo":1472,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":112.5,"y":98.1,"elo":1505,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":197.4,"y":147.4,"elo":1476,"date":"2022-04-16","opp":"Martin Buday","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":274.8,"y":91.4,"elo":1509,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Jake Collier","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":684.2,"y":143.4,"elo":1479,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Kennedy Nzechukwu","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":168.6,"elo":1464,"date":"2025-10-25","opp":"Hamdy Abdelwahab","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 25, 2025 Hamdy Abdelwahab L -15
Oct 26, 2024 Kennedy Nzechukwu L -31
Sep 10, 2022 Jake Collier W +33
Apr 16, 2022 Martin Buday L -29
Nov 6, 2021 Gian Villante W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.74 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.34 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
36% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
35% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1497
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.9
actual -1 vs expected