HonestElo
← womens strawweight

Jessica Aguilar

Inactive · Orthodox · 160 cm · reach 160 cm
Elo rating
1447 ±30
LCB 1408
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +25 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Mar 30, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Aug 1, 2015 — L vs Claudia Gadelha Δ-29May 13, 2017 — L vs Cortney Casey Δ-28Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Jodie Esquibel Δ+31Nov 24, 2018 — L vs Zhang Weili Δ-28Mar 30, 2019 — L vs Marina Rodriguez Δ-25 13821415144814821515 2016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":93.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Claudia Gadelha","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":438.8,"y":137.8,"elo":1444,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Cortney Casey","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":711,"y":88,"elo":1475,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Jodie Esquibel","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":795.7,"y":132.7,"elo":1447,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Zhang Weili","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":172,"elo":1422,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Marina Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-25}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 30, 2019 Marina Rodriguez L -25
Nov 24, 2018 Zhang Weili L -28
Jul 14, 2018 Jodie Esquibel W +31
May 13, 2017 Cortney Casey L -28
Aug 1, 2015 Claudia Gadelha L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.83 avg 3.83
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
7.05 avg 3.33
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.92 avg 1.84
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.23 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 4
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1497
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.3
actual -1 vs expected