HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Antonina Shevchenko

Inactive · Southpaw · 173 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1519 ±38
LCB 1470
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Jul 9, 2022
W by Decision

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Ji Yeon Kim Δ+31Apr 20, 2019 — L vs Roxanne Modafferi Δ-35Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Lucie Pudilova Δ+31May 30, 2020 — L vs Katlyn Cerminara Δ-25Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Ariane Da Silva Δ+35May 15, 2021 — L vs Andrea Lee Δ-20Oct 2, 2021 — L vs Casey O'Neill Δ-16Jul 9, 2022 — W vs Cortney Casey Δ+15 14561486151615461576 2019202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":102.6,"elo":1531,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Ji Yeon Kim","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":115.2,"y":165.2,"elo":1496,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Roxanne Modafferi","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":2,"x":183.1,"y":111.2,"elo":1526,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Lucie Pudilova","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":377.9,"y":156.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Katlyn Cerminara","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":4,"x":491.1,"y":94.8,"elo":1536,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Ariane Da Silva","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":604.3,"y":130.9,"elo":1515,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Andrea Lee","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":694.9,"y":159.2,"elo":1499,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Casey O'Neill","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":132.3,"elo":1515,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Cortney Casey","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 9, 2022 Cortney Casey W +15
Oct 2, 2021 Casey O'Neill L -16
May 15, 2021 Andrea Lee L -20
Nov 21, 2020 Ariane Da Silva W +35
May 30, 2020 Katlyn Cerminara L -25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.28 avg 3.88
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.90 avg 3.53
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.45 avg 1.34
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
48% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.45 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1525
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.0
actual 0 vs expected