HonestElo
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Jarno Errens

Active #87 featherweight
Elo rating
1455 ±38
LCB 1406
Rank
#87
top 90% of division
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
Aug 10, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Sep 3, 2022 — L vs William Gomis Δ-29Aug 26, 2023 — L vs SeungWoo Choi Δ-28Mar 23, 2024 — W vs Steven Nguyen Δ+34Aug 10, 2024 — L vs Youssef Zalal Δ-29 14031432146014881517 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109.2,"elo":1471,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"William Gomis","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":454.2,"y":161.3,"elo":1443,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":707.3,"y":98.7,"elo":1477,"date":"2024-03-23","opp":"Steven Nguyen","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":153.8,"elo":1447,"date":"2024-08-10","opp":"Youssef Zalal","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 10, 2024 Youssef Zalal L -29
Mar 23, 2024 Steven Nguyen W +34
Aug 26, 2023 SeungWoo Choi L -28
Sep 3, 2022 William Gomis L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.22 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.22 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.30 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1499
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected