HonestElo
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Magnus Cedenblad

Inactive · Orthodox · 196 cm · reach 201 cm
Elo rating
1562 ±36
LCB 1515
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -6 · Δ1y -6
Last fight
Nov 19, 2016
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 14, 2012 — L vs Francis Carmont Δ-30Aug 31, 2013 — W vs Jared Hamman Δ+32May 31, 2014 — W vs Krzysztof Jotko Δ+36Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Scott Askham Δ+26May 8, 2016 — W vs Garreth McLellan Δ+28Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Jack Marshman Δ-23 14301480153015811631 2013201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":193.8,"elo":1470,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Francis Carmont","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":279.6,"y":160.3,"elo":1502,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Jared Hamman","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":418.1,"y":122.6,"elo":1537,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Krzysztof Jotko","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":481.9,"y":95.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Scott Askham","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":777.1,"y":66.2,"elo":1591,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Garreth McLellan","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":90.6,"elo":1568,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Jack Marshman","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 19, 2016 Jack Marshman L -23
May 8, 2016 Garreth McLellan W +28
Oct 4, 2014 Scott Askham W +26
May 31, 2014 Krzysztof Jotko W +36
Aug 31, 2013 Jared Hamman W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.87 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.37 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
40% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.25 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
64% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.75 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.2
actual +1 vs expected