HonestElo
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Paige VanZant

Inactive · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 165 cm
Elo rating
1538 ±39
LCB 1487
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Jul 11, 2020
L by Submission

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Nov 22, 2014 — W vs Kailin Curran Δ+33Apr 18, 2015 — W vs Felice Herrig Δ+29Sep 5, 2015 — W vs Alex Chambers Δ+27Dec 10, 2015 — L vs Rose Namajunas Δ-42Aug 27, 2016 — W vs Bec Rawlings Δ+32Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez Δ-21Jan 14, 2018 — L vs Jessica-Rose Clark Δ-17Jan 19, 2019 — W vs Rachael Ostovich Δ+16Jul 11, 2020 — L vs Amanda Ribas Δ-17 14931527156115951629 201520162017201820192020 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-11-22","opp":"Kailin Curran","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":84.9,"y":128.8,"elo":1562,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Felice Herrig","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":142.8,"y":86.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Alex Chambers","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":182.6,"y":151.4,"elo":1547,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Rose Namajunas","result":"L","delta":-42},{"i":4,"x":290.6,"y":102,"elo":1579,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Bec Rawlings","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":337,"y":134.8,"elo":1558,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Michelle Waterson-Gomez","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":6,"x":499.7,"y":161.9,"elo":1541,"date":"2018-01-14","opp":"Jessica-Rose Clark","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":652.9,"y":136.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Rachael Ostovich","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":162.5,"elo":1540,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Amanda Ribas","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 11, 2020 Amanda Ribas L -17
Jan 19, 2019 Rachael Ostovich W +16
Jan 14, 2018 Jessica-Rose Clark L -17
Dec 17, 2016 Michelle Waterson-Gomez L -21
Aug 27, 2016 Bec Rawlings W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.74 avg 3.88
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.15 avg 3.53
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
43% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.04 avg 1.34
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
34% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.78 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
4 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
1
20% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 1 (20%) 1
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
R2
2 50%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1536
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.9
actual 0 vs expected