HonestElo
← womens flyweight

Rachael Ostovich

Inactive · Orthodox · 160 cm · reach 157 cm
Elo rating
1457 ±38
LCB 1408
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +25 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Nov 28, 2020
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Dec 1, 2017 — W vs Karine Gevorgyan Δ+33Jul 6, 2018 — L vs Montana De La Rosa Δ-33Jan 19, 2019 — L vs Paige VanZant Δ-29Nov 28, 2020 — L vs Gina Mazany Δ-38 13931438148315281573 201820192020 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":71,"elo":1533,"date":"2017-12-01","opp":"Karine Gevorgyan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":193.2,"y":109.8,"elo":1500,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Montana De La Rosa","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":346.7,"y":144.2,"elo":1471,"date":"2019-01-19","opp":"Paige VanZant","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":189,"elo":1433,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Gina Mazany","result":"L","delta":-38}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 28, 2020 Gina Mazany L -38
Jan 19, 2019 Paige VanZant L -29
Jul 6, 2018 Montana De La Rosa L -33
Dec 1, 2017 Karine Gevorgyan W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.09 avg 3.88
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 45%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.27 avg 3.53
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.67 avg 1.34
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
83% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 67%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.67 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual -1 vs expected