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Paul Varelans

Inactive · Orthodox · 203 cm
Elo rating
1503 ±41
LCB 1450
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Dec 7, 1996
L by KO

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jul 14, 1995 — W vs Cal Worsham Δ+33Jul 14, 1995 — L vs David Abbott Δ-36Sep 8, 1995 — L vs Marco Ruas Δ-41Sep 8, 1995 — W vs Mark Hall Δ+37Sep 8, 1995 — W vs Gerry Harris Δ+34Dec 16, 1995 — L vs Dan Severn Δ-13Feb 16, 1996 — W vs Joe Moreira Δ+15Dec 7, 1996 — L vs Kimo Leopoldo Δ-22 14161455149415341573 1996 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":77.9,"elo":1533,"date":"1995-07-14","opp":"Cal Worsham","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":24,"y":126.7,"elo":1497,"date":"1995-07-14","opp":"David Abbott","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":117.2,"y":182.1,"elo":1456,"date":"1995-09-08","opp":"Marco Ruas","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":3,"x":117.2,"y":131.8,"elo":1493,"date":"1995-09-08","opp":"Mark Hall","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":117.2,"y":86.3,"elo":1527,"date":"1995-09-08","opp":"Gerry Harris","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":281.9,"y":103.9,"elo":1514,"date":"1995-12-16","opp":"Dan Severn","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":385.1,"y":83.2,"elo":1529,"date":"1996-02-16","opp":"Joe Moreira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":113.1,"elo":1507,"date":"1996-12-07","opp":"Kimo Leopoldo","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 1996 Kimo Leopoldo L -22
Feb 16, 1996 Joe Moreira W +15
Dec 16, 1995 Dan Severn L -13
Sep 8, 1995 Gerry Harris W +34
Sep 8, 1995 Mark Hall W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.40
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.98
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
78%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.13
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
1
25% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 1 (25%) 1 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.0
actual 0 vs expected