Mantas Kondratavicius vs Wes Schultz — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1welterweight MainGabriel BonfimvsSean Brady
- 2women's strawweightTatiana SuarezvsVirna Jandiroba
- 4Not linkedlight heavyweightBilly ElekanavsLucas Fernando
- 5featherweightAustin BashivsLucas Brennan
- 6women's flyweightKarine SilvavsGabriella Fernandes
- 7Not linkedwomen's bantamweightPriscila CachoeiravsNina Milosevic
- 8featherweightKeiichiro NakamuravsOllie Schmid
- 9welterweightSeokhyeon KovsWellington Turman
- 10welterweightJonny ParsonsvsJose Souza
- 11bantamweightDavey GrantvsElijah Smith
- 12featherweightJose DelanovsMurtazali Magomedov
- 13Not linkedheavyweightGabriel LorencovsAlvin Hines
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
Share your result
Pick how you'd like to share. Copy image works in most chat / social apps — copy here, then paste into the post directly. Download saves a PNG you can attach manually.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 1-0-0 | UFC record | 1-2-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 1 |
| +1 | Streak | -1 |
| 27 | Age | 30 |
| 6'2" 188 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 77" 196 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1537 | Global Elo | 1468 |
| 1511 | Elo rating | 1417 |
Mantas Kondratavicius — Notable ▼
- 92% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Wes Schultz — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · middleweightSubmission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Wes Schultz4.85
- 2Julian Marquez2.67
- 3Robert Valentin2.54
- 4Bo Nickal1.47
- 5Kyle Daukaus1.43
- 100% of wins by submission
Mantas Kondratavicius — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 75 landed total · career
- Head 81%
- Body 19%
- Leg 0%
- Distance 56%
- Clinch 23%
- Ground 21%
Wes Schultz — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 39 landed total · career
- Head 44%
- Body 51%
- Leg 5%
- Distance 74%
- Clinch 26%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Ryan Gandra10.00
- 2Yousri Belgaroui8.35
- 3Jackson Mcvey7.14
- 4Marco Tulio7.07
- 5Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 1Damian Pinas71%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Yousri Belgaroui65%
- 4Shara Magomedov63%
- 5Bo Nickal62%
- 1Michael Page1.40
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Yousri Belgaroui1.93
- 4Cam Rowston1.98
- 5Bo Nickal2.00
- 1Yousri Belgaroui70%
- 2Ismail Naurdiev64%
- 3Donte Johnson63%
- 4Michael Page63%
- 5Ozzy Diaz62%
- 1Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 2Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 3Anthony Hernandez5.09
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Yousri Belgaroui100%
- 2Ateba Gautier100%
- 3Donte Johnson100%
- 4Robert Bryczek100%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 2Bo Nickal100%
- 3Ateba Gautier100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Wes Schultz4.85
- 2Julian Marquez2.67
- 3Robert Valentin2.54
- 4Bo Nickal1.47
- 5Kyle Daukaus1.43
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Cam Rowston7.18
- 3Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 4Anthony Hernandez6.99
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Wes Schultz has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1493 vs 1416, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Mar 21, 2026
- Aug 22, 2026
- May 2, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026