← Back to event card

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Leblanc

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

0-1-0 UFC record 2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +1
34 Age 30
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1516 Global Elo 1482
1490 Elo rating 1432
Julien Leblanc — Notable
Gilbert Urbina — Notable
At a glance

Julien Leblanc — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 4 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Body
  • Head 25%
  • Body 50%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
100% Distance
  • Distance 100%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 0%

Gilbert Urbina — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 147 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
48% Distance
  • Distance 48%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 37%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

1.69
6.68
div avg 4.30
67%
58%
div avg 51%
2.96
4.72
div avg 3.32
46%
48%
div avg 54%
0.00
2.73
div avg 1.77
44%
div avg 48%
0%
0%
div avg 71%
0.00
0.68
div avg 0.54
0
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Julien Leblanc
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Gilbert Urbina
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses
Gilbert Urbina
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Julien Leblanc
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Gilbert Urbina has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1509 vs 1409, 0 quality wins to 0.

Julien Leblanc red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1409
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.6
−0.6 below schedule
Gilbert Urbina blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1509
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vlasto Cepo
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
2.3
−0.3 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1500
1500
Corner A recent form
Julien Leblanc
Corner B recent form
Gilbert Urbina
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Julien Leblanc & Gilbert Urbina on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.